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Forecast

Forecast Highlights

  • The GF-S revenue forecast has been increased by $30 million for the 2013-15 biennium and by $82 million for the 2015-17 biennium.
  • Revenue collections have been coming in very close to the November 2013 forecast. Cumulative General Fund-State (GF-S) revenue collections through February 10th were only $2 million (0.0%) higher than forecasted.
  • Risks to the baseline are much the same as in November: the potential for slower Chinese economic growth and possible disruptions to the housing recovery; risks associated with federal fiscal policy have been reduced.

Revenue Forecast

Revenue forecasts are to be submitted to the governor and legislature on or before November 20th, February 20th in even numbered years, March 20th in odd numbered years, June 27th and September 27th.

The Economic and Revenue Forecast Council must approve the official, optimistic and pessimistic forecasts by an affirmative vote of at least four members. If the council is unable to approve a forecast before a required date the supervisor will submit the forecast without approval and the forecast shall have the same effect as if approved by the council.

Washington State is unique in this approach to revenue forecasting. The forecast is nonpartisan and is used by both the executive and legislative branches in budget preparation.